Demographic Doom Podcast
Pandemic + Financial Collapse = Chaos

Pandemic + Financial Collapse = Chaos

February 23, 2020

As of February 23, 2020, the coronavirus had invaded all of China and was gaining a foothold in several other countries, including Italy, South Korea and Iran. Glenn Campbell tries to comprehend the vast financial impacts of the pandemic—and finds that he can't. His position is like someone from 1939 trying to look ahead to the coming World War and trying to predict how it will work out. The best he can do is describe some of the medical and economic factors that will make this a truly horrible event. As of the date of this recording, stock market investors are in denial, pushing indexes to new highs. This cannot last. Before the virus, the economy was already in an "Everything Bubble" and a worldwide pandemic is more than enough to pop it. — Also see DemographicDoom.com — Instagram & Twitter: @DemographicDoom — See episode notes, comments & corrections on the video version at j.mp/dd_collapse [ep 30]

Introduction to Triagism: A Philosophy of Life Based on Medical Triage

Introduction to Triagism: A Philosophy of Life Based on Medical Triage

February 21, 2020

Glenn Campbell describes his own self-styled philosophy called "Triagism" based on medical triage as might be practiced in a big-city Emergency Room. Recorded on 21 February 2020 as coronavirus (Covid-19) spreads around the world, Triagism is highly relevant to the government response to this disease. If there are only 10 beds available in a hospital and 1000 sick patients show up outside its doors, how do the staff decide which patients to take in? In traditional triage, the aim is to save as many lives as possible by carefully selecting the patients served. Mildly sick patients may be declined because they are likely to live without intervention, while severely ill patients may also be refused because they are beyond help. Triage tends to favor the moderately ill patients who can most benefit from treatment. While intended for medical management, the same triage principles can be applied to all kinds of human decisions. — Also see DemographicDoom.com — Instagram & Twitter: @DemographicDoom — See episode notes, comments & corrections on the video version at j.mp/dd_triagism [ep 29]

Coronavirus Predictions

Coronavirus Predictions

February 10, 2020

By February 10, 2020, the coronavirus outbreak has spread across China despite draconian efforts by the Chinese government to contain it. As of now, the virus doesn't seem to have gained a foothold in overseas countries like the USA, but experts seem to concur that it will become endemic, affecting every part of the globe. At this pivotal point in history, Glenn Campbell summarizes what he understands about the virus and makes some predictions about the social and economic effects. — Also see DemographicDoom.com — Instagram & Twitter: @DemographicDoom — See episode notes and comments on the video version at j.mp/dd_corona [ep 28]

Coronavirus: Is This The Black Swan That Crashes the Economy?

Coronavirus: Is This The Black Swan That Crashes the Economy?

February 3, 2020

As a viral epidemic takes hold in China, Glenn Campbell predicts it will be the "black swan" that pushes the world economy into severe recession. Podcast recorded on Feb. 3, 2020, when only 17,000 cases were confirmed and 360 official deaths. The news will certainly change over the coming weeks, but no matter what happens, the economic costs will be devastating. The real damage is loss of confidence. In previous podcasts, Glenn talked about the worldwide debt crisis and the coming major recession. The economic collapse only needs a trigger, and the coronavirus may be it. — Also see DemographicDoom.com — Instagram & Twitter: @DemographicDoom — See episode notes and comments on the video version at j.mp/dd_virus [ep 27]

Government Birth Incentives: Why They Don’t Work

Government Birth Incentives: Why They Don’t Work

January 27, 2020

Governments around the world, desperate to raise their birth rates, are offering incentives to parents to make more babies. These can range for one-time cash bonuses to complex parental support systems like subsidized childcare. None of these systems seem to be working. For example, Sweden, which is doing everything right to encourage childbirth, has a fertility rate similar to the USA, which is doing little to support its parents. The core problem with any incentive program is that nothing a government can offer comes anywhere close to the true costs of parenthood. Such incentives may even have the perverse effect of encouraging the wrong kind of people to have children. — Also see DemographicDoom.com — Instagram & Twitter: @DemographicDoom — See episode notes and comments on the video version at j.mp/dd_incentives [ep 26]

Fictitious Wealth and the Coming Economic Collapse

Fictitious Wealth and the Coming Economic Collapse

January 21, 2020

"Fictitious wealth" is assets that people think they have that cannot be realized in the long run. You can own stocks, bonds, real estate even cash in a mattress, but none of it has a secure value in the future. All assets are vulnerable to crash, and government actions over the past decade have assured that nearly all of them will. During the Global Financial Crisis, big governments and central banks worked together to rescue the economy, but all they really did is kick the can down the road. Particularly demaging are the runaway deficits of the U.S. government and the low interest rates of the Federal Reserve. Both have given rise to an "everything bubble" that is bound to pop in the 2020s. Glenn Campbell explains the mechanisms involved and how there is little hope for a non-catastrophic resolution. — Also see DemographicDoom.com + Instagram + Twitter. Comment on video at j.mp/dd_fiction [ep 25]

Childhood Trauma

Childhood Trauma

December 22, 2019

In choosing to have a child, you must accept that you may be imposing pain upon them. For example, they may experience a devastating disease or disability which would have never happen had you not brought them into the world. Life is, by its nature, traumatic, and you can justify imposing this trauma on someone else only if you believe the value of sustaining your culture outweighs the potential risks. Roughly one in ten births is likely to become "problematic" in one way or another, but you do it for the nine successes. In this episode, Glenn Campbell explores several aspects of childhood trauma, including a form that every child must face: "real-life adjustment trauma." Parents create a protected environment for their children which is never easy to escape from. — Also see DemographicDoom.com + Instagram + Twitter. Comment on video at j.mp/dd_trauma [ep 24]

The Future of Education

The Future of Education

December 16, 2019

Education in America is in crisis. At the upper end, college graduates are saddled with huge student debt. At the lower end, public education is perpetually underfunded. Presidential candidates promise to fix public education and forgive student debt, but how much can the government afford? Since he is not running for public office, Glenn Campbell can offer a frank analysis: Physical universities are destined for collapse, while the best approach to primary education may be returning to the one-room schoolhouse of the past. — Also see DemographicDoom.com + Instagram + Twitter. Comment on video at j.mp/dd_education

The 2020s: The Horrible Decade

The 2020s: The Horrible Decade

December 14, 2019

In December 2019, Glenn Campbell looks ahead to the 2020s. Economic and political chaos will explode as the bills of the past come due. Massive protests in France, Hong Kong and Chile are just the beginning, because nearly everyone will be unhappy in the coming years. The core issue is that there is not enough pie to go around.  — Also see DemographicDoom.com + Instagram + Twitter. Comment on video at j.mp/dd_decade

Should You Feel Guilty About Not Having Kids?

Should You Feel Guilty About Not Having Kids?

December 7, 2019

If you are in your 30s and haven't had children, should you feel guilty? Is it your responsibility to create a new life to replace your own? Glenn Campbell breaks down the moral issues. Demographic collapse, like climate change, is a complex problem with no single solution. It is good to want to make the world a better place after you are gone, and this may or may not involve raising children. It may take years to figure out what your mission should be, and your solution may be different than everyone else's. The only thing you should feel guilty about is wasting your personal resources on things you know are not important.