Demographic Doom Podcast
60. Things I Can’t Predict — What Demographics and Macroeconomics Can’t Tell Us (15 min)

60. Things I Can’t Predict — What Demographics and Macroeconomics Can’t Tell Us (15 min)

June 15, 2021

Glenn Campbell on what is predictable and what isn't, based on demographics and macroeconomics. They place a hard ceiling on future economic, but they don't tell us what will happen below that ceiling. The wildcards are human politics and human behavior, which escape easy predictions. Glenn illustrates these limitations with three results of the pandemic that he never would have predicted: (1) a rise in stocks and asset markets despite a failing economy. (2) Race riots in the midst of a pandemic. (3) The current labor shortage despite high unemployment. — Twitter: @DemographicDoom — See the YouTube version of this episode for notes, comments, corrections & links to other resources: j.mp/dd_dontknow [ep 60, 15 June 2021]

59. Making Sense of UFOs (36 min)

59. Making Sense of UFOs (36 min)

June 10, 2021

Glenn Campbell reveals the connection between UFOs and human demographics: There isn't any! [Expanded description coming soon.] — Twitter: @DemographicDoom — See the YouTube version of this episode for notes, comments, corrections & links to other resources: j.mp/dd_ufos [ep 59, 10 June 2021]

58. Biosphere 2 and the Post-Nuclear Family (35 min)

58. Biosphere 2 and the Post-Nuclear Family (35 min)

May 24, 2021

Glenn Campbell reviews the 2020 documentary "Spaceship Earth" about the 1990s ecological experiment Biosphere 2. In September 1991, eight "astronauts" were locked in sealed greenhouse in the Arizona desert, where they were expected to produce their own food, water and air. It was a utopian system destined to fail, but Glenn sees lessons in it for his own speculative system, the post-nuclear family. — Twitter: @DemographicDoom — See the YouTube version of this episode for notes, comments, corrections & links to other resources: j.mp/dd_biosphere [ep 58, 24 May 2021]

57. Introduction to Demographic Doom and the Post-Nuclear Family (64 min)

57. Introduction to Demographic Doom and the Post-Nuclear Family (64 min)

May 3, 2021

Glenn Campbell summarizes the humanity's greatest demographic threat—a shortage of babies in the developed world—and his proposed long-term solution: a system he calls the "post-nuclear family". Speaking without a script (and on video), Glenn first describes the global baby bust and the financial crisis it is creating. Although the population is getting older and less productive, governments are spending money far more money than they are collecting in tax. This condition has to end in tragedy. At 40:00, Glenn begins to describe his theoretical family system and how it would work. He proposes bringing back big families: between 9 and 18 kids in one household. The only way this can realistically be pulled off is by a number of adults joining forces. — Twitter: @DemographicDoom — See the YouTube version of this episode for notes, comments, corrections & links to other resources: j.mp/dd_doom [ep 57, 3 May 2021]

56. The Zero-Inflation Theory: New Insight on a Collapsing Economy (39 min)

56. The Zero-Inflation Theory: New Insight on a Collapsing Economy (39 min)

March 31, 2021

For two decades now, the US government his spent far more money than it collects in taxes, and the pandemic has only accelerated the process. Before Covid-19, the government borrowed one of every four dollars it spent. In 2020 and 2021, the deficit is one of every two dollars. The shortfall has been made up by government borrowing and ultimately the printing of new money. A mystery among investors and economists is why all this money creation hasn't resulted in staggering consumer inflation. Glenn Campbell thinks he has the answer: The extra money has been drawn into asset markets, where it will ultimately be destroyed. Starting with the recent $1.9 trillion Covid Relief Bill, Glenn describes the mechanisms behind his "Zero-Inflation Theory", where markets collapse but the U.S. dollar holds its value. Glenn also discusses the role of index funds and passive investing in accelerating a coming stock market collapse. — Twitter: @DemographicDoom — See the video version of this episode for notes, comments, corrections & links to other resources: j.mp/dd_zeroinflation [ep 56, 31 Mar 2021]

55. Jim Rogers on Government Debt and Economic Collapse (19 min)

55. Jim Rogers on Government Debt and Economic Collapse (19 min)

February 19, 2021

The world is heading for a massive monetary collapse due to runaway money printing. Glenn Campbell has said it before on this podcast, and he'll probably say it again. This time, however, he has a witness—or at least someone with public stature who is saying the same things. Glenn begins this episode by playing a 4-minute edited clip from Jim Rogers, a 78-year-old investor who has warned about a coming calamity for several years. Rogers says government money printing is out of control and can only end in disaster. After the clip, Glenn presents his own case that government debt is the economy's biggest threat—even a threat to civilization as we know it. Governments can finance their massive debts only through the creation of new money, which will eventually result in a debasement of the currency and unpredictable shocks to the rest of the economy. That fact that stock markets are close to all-time highs at the time of this episode shouldn't be taken as reassuring. The whole system is deeply dysfunctional and can only end in an unthinkable outcome. — Twitter: @DemographicDoom — See the video version of this episode for notes, comments, corrections & links to other resources: j.mp/dd_rogers [ep 55, 19 Feb 2021]

54. Parentification in the Post-Nuclear Family (13 min)

54. Parentification in the Post-Nuclear Family (13 min)

February 13, 2021

[13 min] Continuing the discussion of his proposed post-nuclear family, Glenn Campbell explains the critical role of "parentification"—or having older children care for younger ones. To child welfare workers, it is often considered child neglect when an underage child is found to be caring for their parents or siblings. Glenn seems to be proposing the same thing, except that in his system there are still responsible adults on duty. They just don't do the dirty work. Children are expected to handle nearly all of the routine tasks of the household—commensurate with their ability. This includes changing diapers, preparing meals, cleaning house and teaching younger children basic skills. This isn't just a labor-saving device for the parents but an important socialization exercise for the older children. One of the main aims of family life is to build strong emotional bonds between the siblings so they remain loyal to the family for life. There is no better way to do it than to give children important tasks in caring for each other. — Twitter: @DemographicDoom — See the video version of this episode for notes, comments, corrections & links to other resources: j.mp/dd_parentification [ep 54, 13 Feb 2021]

53. Fifteen Defining Features of the Post-Nuclear Family (44 min)

53. Fifteen Defining Features of the Post-Nuclear Family (44 min)

February 4, 2021

In a "dramatic reading" of his webpage, Glenn Campbell lists 15 key characteristics of his proposed post-nuclear family. In this system, between 9 and 18 children are raised in a single household by a consortium of parents who do not live there. Glenn begins with an overview and a list of five issues the structure is intended to address, including the high cost of parenting. He then lists the 15 "defining" features followed by a dozen "implied" ones. The implied features are not essential to the system, but Glenn believes they are likely offshoots of his main proposal. Finally, Glenn lists a series of "policy" issues that the founding parents must address before the family begins. Glenn is reading from the webpage: DemographicDoom.com/postnuclear  — Website: DemographicDoom.com — Twitter: @DemographicDoom — See the video version of this episode for notes, comments, corrections & links to other resources: j.mp/dd_fifteen [ep 53, 4 Feb 2021]

52. A World Without Money: An Allegory For The Coming Collapse (23 min)

52. A World Without Money: An Allegory For The Coming Collapse (23 min)

January 19, 2021

Glenn Campbell returns to his predictions of dire economic collapse using a new device: imagining a world without money. If society had no dollars, euros or yen, would the economy still be in trouble? It could be, says Glenn. —— Without currency, people could still trade with each other through direct barter and the next-order alternative: an exchange of promises. Instead of trading one product for another, you could trade one product for the *promise* of another, written on a piece of paper. For example, a chicken farmer could sell printed coupons that entitled the bearer to received one chicken at a future date, and these coupons could be traded like cash is today. The only problem arises when the farmer promises more chickens than he can produce. Then you would have a bubble that must eventually collapse. —— So why is the world economy in so much trouble today? Simple: There are far more outstanding promises than can possibly be fulfilled. — Website: DemographicDoom.com — Twitter: @DemographicDoom — See the video version of this episode for notes, comments, corrections & links to other resources: j.mp/dd_withoutmoney [ep 52, 19 Jan 2021]

51. Year in Review 2020: Personal and Macroeconomic (36 min)

51. Year in Review 2020: Personal and Macroeconomic (36 min)

December 31, 2020

At the end of 2020, Glenn Campbell offers a review of the past year and makes some predictions for coming years. The pandemic is the obvious bombshell of 2020, but Glenn focusses more on his own personal year—defeating cancer once again—and on the bigger macroeconomic picture beyond the pandemic. Glenn spent the first few months of the pandemic in cancer treatment, and he tells us about his adventures. He also describes his surprise in watching the stock market RISE in the face of an devastating economic downturn. In Podcast #22 in Dec. 2019, a month before  the pandemic became known, Glenn predicted that a "black swan" would crash the economy. The pandemic seemed to fit the bill, but it didn't crash the stock market, which, at year end, is flying higher than ever. Glenn explains why this is bad and why our economic crisis won't end with a vaccine. — Website: DemographicDoom.com — Twitter: @DemographicDoom — See the video version of this episode for notes, comments, corrections & links to other resources: j.mp/dd_2020review [ep 51, 31 Dec 2020]

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