Demographic Doom Podcast
52. A World Without Money: An Allegory For The Coming Collapse

52. A World Without Money: An Allegory For The Coming Collapse

January 19, 2021

Glenn Campbell returns to his predictions of dire economic collapse using a new device: imagining a world without money. If society had no dollars, euros or yen, would the economy still be in trouble? It could be, says Glenn. —— Without currency, people could still trade with each other through direct barter and the next-order alternative: an exchange of promises. Instead of trading one product for another, you could trade one product for the *promise* of another, written on a piece of paper. For example, a chicken farmer could sell printed coupons that entitled the bearer to received one chicken at a future date, and these coupons could be traded like cash is today. The only problem arises when the farmer promises more chickens than he can produce. Then you would have a bubble that must eventually collapse. —— So why is the world economy in so much trouble today? Simple: There are far more outstanding promises than can possibly be fulfilled. — Website: DemographicDoom.com — Twitter: @DemographicDoom — See the video version of this episode for notes, comments, corrections & links to other resources: j.mp/dd_withoutmoney [ep 52, 19 Jan 2021]

51. Year in Review 2020: Personal and Macroeconomic

51. Year in Review 2020: Personal and Macroeconomic

December 31, 2020

At the end of 2020, Glenn Campbell offers a review of the past year and makes some predictions for coming years. The pandemic is the obvious bombshell of 2020, but Glenn focusses more on his own personal year—defeating cancer once again—and on the bigger macroeconomic picture beyond the pandemic. Glenn spent the first few months of the pandemic in cancer treatment, and he tells us about his adventures. He also describes his surprise in watching the stock market RISE in the face of an devastating economic downturn. In Podcast #22 in Dec. 2019, a month before  the pandemic became known, Glenn predicted that a "black swan" would crash the economy. The pandemic seemed to fit the bill, but it didn't crash the stock market, which, at year end, is flying higher than ever. Glenn explains why this is bad and why our economic crisis won't end with a vaccine. — Website: DemographicDoom.com — Twitter: @DemographicDoom — See the video version of this episode for notes, comments, corrections & links to other resources: j.mp/dd_2020review [ep 51, 31 Dec 2020]

50. Post-Nuclear Family: Where Do The Babies Come From?

50. Post-Nuclear Family: Where Do The Babies Come From?

December 13, 2020

In his fourth episode on the "post-nuclear family", Glenn Campbell talks about where the babies come from to populate his proposed family structure. The family may be started by a consortium of three or more couples who create babies in the traditional way. This works for the first couple of decades, but eventually the fertility of the founding mothers runs out, and the family has to look elsewhere for new babies. In the world of 2048 and beyond, many fertility methods will no doubt be available, but all of them will require relatively young women to bring an embryo to term. Glenn sees three potential source of new mothers: (1) new women or couples recruited into the family, (2) paid surrogates, and (3) using the family's own daughters to bear new children. Glenn discusses the pros and cons of each method as well as the fourth option of adopting unwanted children from the outside world. — Website: DemographicDoom.com — Twitter: @DemographicDoom — See the video version of this episode for notes, comments, corrections & links to other resources: j.mp/dd_babies [ep 50, 13 Dec 2020]

49. Predictions for the Biden Era

49. Predictions for the Biden Era

November 22, 2020

About two weeks after Joseph Biden was elected President of the United States, Glenn Campbell analyses the demographic damage caused by Trump and makes some predictions for the Biden Administration. Although the President of the United States will no longer be actively damaging the country, most of the macroeconomic problems of the Trump era will continue into the Biden era. The US Government has accumulated more debt than can possibly be paid back, and even the most competent administration can't make it go away. Conceptually, the Titanic has already hit the iceberg and is waiting to sink. — Website: DemographicDoom.com — Twitter: @DemographicDoom — See the video version of this episode for notes, comments, corrections & links to other resources: j.mp/dd_biden [ep 49, 21 Nov 2020]

48. The Post-Nuclear Family: Education and Family Culture

48. The Post-Nuclear Family: Education and Family Culture

November 9, 2020

In his third episode on his proposed "post-nuclear family," Glenn Campbell describes how this large family structure would educate its young. Since "software programming" is the main function of the family, it is not taken lightly. While public education is a possibility, most post-nuclear families would probably prefer home schooling. With 9-18 kids in one house, supported by many adults, the household could afford to hire a teacher, but this person would do less teaching and more managing. Much of the work of early childhood education would fall on older children, who have time for the intense one-on-one tutoring of language and motor skills. Older children would get their learning from a variety of sources, including textbooks, online classes and mentoring by adults. The curriculum is a community project, negotiated among the parents. The teacher is the conductor, implementing the education plan and making sure benchmarks are achieved. — Website: DemographicDoom.com — Twitter: @DemographicDoom — See the video version of this episode for notes, comments, corrections & links to other resources: j.mp/dd_culture [ep 48, 9 Nov 2020]

 
47. The Post-Nuclear Family: Is It Communism? ☭

47. The Post-Nuclear Family: Is It Communism? ☭

October 30, 2020

Glenn Campbell responds to comments on his previous episode suggesting that his post-nuclear family is "Communism" and is destined to fail for the same reasons. Glenn compares his system to two different kinds of 20th Century "communism": Soviet Communism and the kibbutz's of Israel. Every family is inherently communistic: "From each according to his abilities. To each according to his needs." However, the socialism takes place only within the childrearing unit. In the post-nuclear system, adults remain independent and don't try to share everything with each other. The family is supported in the same way as a community church: with voluntary contributions in time and labor from its members. Apart from this, adults maintain their own assets and pursue their own lives. More interesting than Soviet Communism is the kibbutz system of 1960s Israel, which tried to raise children in large groups. It didn't work out, and Glenn explains why. Finally, Glenn defines the "Westermarck effect", which was first identified in the kibbutz system. It will be referenced in a later episode on sexuality. — Website: DemographicDoom.com — Twitter: @DemographicDoom — See the video version of this episode for notes, comments, corrections & links to other resources: j.mp/dd_communism [ep 47, 30 Oct 2020]

46. The Post-Nuclear Family: An Introduction

46. The Post-Nuclear Family: An Introduction

October 23, 2020

Glenn Campbell describes his proposed family structure, the "post-nuclear family", intended to address the shortcomings of the traditional nuclear family. Instead of one or two adults raising 1-3 children, Glenn proposes 9-18 kids raised under one roof by a consortium of adults who do not live in the home. The advantages of this system are economies of scale and the "captive labor force" of older children caring for younger one. Although the household is supported from the outside and there's usually an adult on duty, most of the routine work of parenthood is performed by children. This is not unreasonable, since the children's ages are evenly spaced and the oldest are essentially adults. Children prepare all the meals, change all the diapers, teach basic skills to the‏ir youngest siblings and perform whatever maintenance duties they are capable of. Teenagers are essentially the parents of their younger siblings, both practically and emotionally. Older adults provide financial support and serve as household supervisors on a scheduled basis; otherwise, they are free to live as they wish separate from the main household. There are many complex aspects to the system which will be covered in future episodes. This episode is only an introduction. This new series is intended replace Glenn's earlier episodes and videos on the "modular family" (the same system but renamed in June 2020). If you are interested in exploring the post-nuclear family, this is the first episode to listen to. — Website: DemographicDoom.com — Twitter: @DemographicDoom — See the video version of this episode for notes, comments, corrections & links to other resources: j.mp/dd_postnuclear [ep 46, 23 Oct 2020]

45. Rip van Winkle Awakens… to Insane Economics

45. Rip van Winkle Awakens… to Insane Economics

October 8, 2020

On Oct. 8, 2020, after 4½ months on hiatus, Glenn Campbell returns with a new podcast, recapping what has happened both in the world and in his personal life. While there has been plenty of "news" over the past four months, not a lot has changed in the big picture. The pandemic is almost certain to accelerate the birth collapse in developed countries, which will be confirmed by birth statistics in December. While the long-term prospects haven't changed, Glenn is surprised by three "insanities" he wasn't anticipating: (1) The dramatic rise in stock markets despite a crumbling economy. (2) A labor shortage despite massive unemployment, and (3) Reversing of the long-term trend toward urbanization, at least in the biggest cities. Glenn says the true crash has hardly begun. He predicts another Black Swan will be needed to make people take the first Black Swan seriously.  — Website: DemographicDoom.com — Twitter: @DemographicDoom — See the video version of this episode for notes, comments, corrections & links to other resources: j.mp/dd_winkle [ep 45, 8 Oct 2020]

44. Casualties of the Crisis: Real Estate and College Campuses

44. Casualties of the Crisis: Real Estate and College Campuses

May 25, 2020

In coming months, the world is due for a major collapse of real estate prices. The lockdowns prompted by Covid-19 have exposed the inherent weaknesses of most forms of "place". Offices, retail stores and expensive homes just don't have the same intrinsic value that they did five months ago, and a painful reckoning is at hand. With many employees and college students working successfully from home, it is becoming clear that knowledge work doesn't require a special location. The virus has given a huge boost to telecommuting, and once these wheels have been set in motion, they can't be turned back. The victims of the change are landlords providing office space and colleges forced to maintain expensive buildings that aren't being used, as well as all the workers who construct and maintain these facilities. Homeowners in major cities will also face losses as telecommuters flee to less expensive cities. Knowledge workers may have easier lives, but anyone who are already invested in real estate may face devastating losses. — Website: DemographicDoom.com — Instagram & Twitter: @DemographicDoom — See the video version of this episode for notes, comments, corrections & links to other resources: j.mp/dd_realestate [ep 44, 24 May 2020]

43. A History of our Dysfunction: 1945-2020

43. A History of our Dysfunction: 1945-2020

May 16, 2020

In a single episode, Glenn Campbell reviews the entire economic history of the United States from the end of World War II to the current economic collapse. Recorded on May 10, 2020, when stock markets continue to defy the crisis, rising in the face of bad news. Glenn identifies five processes over the past 75 years that have made an economic crisis inevitable: (1) The rise and fall of the Baby Boomers. (2) Our expanded longevity due to advances in safety and medicine. (3) The "inflation of tastes" which has turn our economy into a frivolous one. (4) The explosion of debt in all sectors of the economy that cannot possibly be paid back, (5) Desperate attempts by the Federal Reserve to rectify to previous four processes through destructive monetary policy. — Website: DemographicDoom.com — Instagram & Twitter: @DemographicDoom — See the video version of this episode for notes, comments, corrections & links to other resources: j.mp/dd_practices [ep 43, 10 May 2020]

Play this podcast on Podbean App